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CFR DAILY DOWNLOAD 012126.xlsx
CFR CONCESSION & COVERED 01-21-26.xlsx
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by Sarah Jiang
Jan 21, 2026 5:11 PM ET
Bank supply dominated the primary market today, with three regional banks alongside CIBC pricing a combined $8bn of issuance. This represented roughly 90% of the day’s total volume, and brings bank supply for the week up to $8.600bn, or 87% of weekly supply. Banks have led supply so far this year, which is on pace with 2025 YTD and the month of January as a whole:
Banks % Jan History and YTD | |||||||
YEAR | BANK JAN | IG JAN TTL | Bank % Jan | BANK YTD | IG YTD | Bank % YTD | YTD Date |
2026 | $92,800 | $165,321 | 56.13% | $92,800 | $165,321 | 56.13% | Wednesday, January 21, 2026 |
2025 | $103,750 | $195,900 | 52.96% | $90,000 | $158,850 | 56.66% | Wednesday, January 22, 2025 |
2024 | $85,250 | $194,570 | 43.81% | $63,500 | $139,320 | 45.58% | Wednesday, January 17, 2024 |
2023 | $85,750 | $147,800 | 58.02% | $60,950 | $105,950 | 57.53% | Wednesday, January 18, 2023 |
2022 | $84,950 | $152,091 | 55.85% | $79,600 | $141,101 | 56.41% | Wednesday, January 19, 2022 |
2021 | $59,760 | $137,020 | 43.61% | $45,260 | $104,895 | 43.15% | Wednesday, January 20, 2021 |
2020 | $63,400 | $140,090 | 45.26% | $52,450 | $123,490 | 42.47% | Wednesday, January 22, 2020 |
Outside of the banks, two additional transactions cleared the market—ISRELE’s $500m 12-year and GSBD’s $400m 3-year—bringing total daily issuance to $8.9bn. Weekly volume now stands at just $9.9bn, well below the $29.403bn average estimate, while January issuance has risen to $164.321bn but remains more than $36bn short of its average estimated pace.
THIS WEEK GOAL POST |
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WK ENDING 1/23/26 WTD | $9,900 | $ NEED TO HIT |
AVG EST WK ENDING 1/23/26 | $29,403 | $19,503 |
HIGH EST WK ENDING 1/23/26 | $40,000 | $30,100 |
LOW EST WK ENDING 1/23/26 | $22,500 | $12,600 |
JANUARY GOAL POST | ||
JAN MTD | $164,321 | $NEED TO HIT |
JAN 2026 AVG EST | $200,393 | $36,072 |
JAN 2026 HIGH EST | $225,000 | $60,679 |
JAN 2026 LOW EST | $175,000 | $10,679 |
JAN 3YR AVG | $179,423 | $15,102 |
JAN 5YR AVG | $165,476 | $1,155 |
JAN RECORD (2025) | $195,900 | $31,579 |
Looking ahead to Thursday, Bain Capital was added to the pipeline after announcing a roadshow scheduled for Wednesday, while at two other deals were looking this morning before opting not to move forward.
Oversubscription levels on yesterday’s 2 deals were strong with an average of 4.92x, but attrition didn’t look as good at -54.58%. It looked better on today’s deals with an average of -15.65%, which could give issuers more confidence going into what could be the last day of issuance this week.
Risk sentiment did improve in the morning after President Trump stated at the World Economic Forum in Switzerland that he had ruled out the use of military force to acquire Greenland. Indices finished the session as follows:
DOW closed up 1.21% to 49,007.23,
S&P closed up 1.16% to 6,875.62,
NASDAQ closed up 1.18% to 23,224.82.
Today's $6bn regional bank supply total brought the day to the 3rd place on the largest regional bank days (Volume) since 2020:
LARGEST REGIONAL BANK DAYS (VOLUME) 2020-26 | ||
Date | Volume | Deals |
6/7/23 | $7,000 | PNC $3.5bn, USB $3.5bn |
6/5/23 | $6,750 | COF $3.5bn, TFC $3.25bn |
1/21/26 | $6,000 | PNC $3bn, USB $2.25bn, KEY $750m |
7/25/22 | $5,750 | TFC $2.5bn, COF $2.25bn, FITB $1bn |
1/23/23 | $5,750 | TFC $3bn, KEY $1.5bn, STT $1.25bn |
10/18/22 | $5,500 | USB $3bn, BK $2.5bn |
1/16/20 | $5,250 | PNC $2bn, USB $3.25bn |
1/24/23 | $5,000 | MTB $3.5bn, BK $1.5bn |
7/18/24 | $5,000 | PNC $2.5bn, CFG $1.25bn, USB $1.25bn |
5/5/22 | $5,000 | COF $4bn, NTRS $1bn |
Bank spread notables from today are as follows:
KEY's 10y at T+105bp ranked as the 4th lowest BBB bank spread through 2009:
2009-26 BBB BANK 10yr LOW SPREADS | |||||||||||
DATE | Ticker | Top Sector | Sub 1 | MDY | SP | FTCH | Size | Mat | Final | Coupon | Spread |
1/28/20 | HBAN | fin | bank | Baa1 | BBB+ | A- | $750 | 10 | 2/4/30 | 2.550% | 95 |
11/19/25 | BBLTB | yfin | bank | Baa1 | BBB+ | $600 | 10 | 11/26/35 | 5.082% | 97 | |
2/3/20 | CFG | fin | bank | NR | BBB+ | BBB+ | $300 | 10 | 2/6/30 | 2.500% | 100 |
1/21/26 | KEY | fin | bank | Baa2 | BBB | A- | $750 | 11nc10 | 1/28/37 | 5.305% | 105 |
10/28/21 | COF | fin | bank | Baa1 | BBB | A- | $500 | 11nc10 | 11/2/32 | 2.618% | 105 |
4/21/14 | COF | fin | bank | Baa1 | BBB | A- | $750 | 10 | 4/24/24 | 3.750% | 105 |
9/15/25 | SANUK | yfin | bank | Baa1 | BBB | A | $1,000 | 11nc10 | 9/22/36 | 5.136% | 110 |
9/4/19 | KEY | fin | bank | Baa1 | BBB+ | A- | $750 | 10 | 10/1/29 | 2.550% | 110 |
3/12/18 | FITB | fin | bank | Baa1 | BBB+ | A- | $650 | 10 | 3/14/28 | 3.950% | 110 |
7/27/21 | COF | fin | bank | Baa1 | BBB- | BBB | $1,000 | 11nc10 | 7/29/32 | 2.359% | 112 |
USB's 11nc10 at T+78bp ranked as the 4th lowest 10y bank spread back through 2022:
2022-26 10yr BANK LOW SPREADS | |||||||||||
DATE | Ticker | Top Sector | Sub 1 | MDY | SP | FTCH | Size | Mat | Final | Coupon | Spread |
1/19/22 | BK | fin | bank | A1 | A | AA- | $450 | 10 | 1/26/32 | 2.500% | 70 |
1/14/26 | JPM | fin | bank | A1 | A | AA- | $3,000 | 11nc10 | 1/22/37 | 4.898% | 76 |
10/15/25 | JPM | fin | bank | A1 | A | AA- | $3,000 | 11nc10 | 10/22/36 | 4.810% | 77 |
10/6/25 | TD | yfin | bank | A2 | A- | AA- | $1,250 | 10 | 10/15/35 | 4.928% | 77 |
1/21/26 | USB | fin | bank | A3 | A | A | $1,000 | 11nc10 | 1/26/37 | 5.033% | 78 |
11/13/24 | BK | fin | bank | Aa3 | A | AA- | $750 | 11nc10 | 11/20/35 | 5.225% | 78 |
6/3/24 | NAB | yfin | bank | Aa3 | AA- | $750 | 10 | 6/11/34 | 5.181% | 78 | |
1/15/26 | WFC | fin | bank | A1 | BBB+ | A+ | $3,500 | 11nc10 | 1/23/37 | 4.960% | 80 |
10/20/25 | STT | fin | bank | Aa3 | A | AA- | $1,000 | 11nc10 | 10/23/36 | 4.784% | 80 |
1/5/22 | TD | yfin | bank | A1 | A | AA | $600 | 10 | 1/12/32 | 2.450% | 80 |
USB's 6nc5 at T+65 also ranked as the 4th lowest 6nc5 spread back through 2022:
2022-26 6nc5 LOW SPREADS | |||||||||||
DATE | Ticker | Top Sector | Sub 1 | MDY | SP | FTCH | Size | Mat | Final | Coupon | Spread |
2/2/22 | STT | fin | bank | A1 | A | AA- | $650 | 6nc5 | 2/7/28 | 2.203% | 60 |
1/20/22 | USB | fin | bank | A2 | A+ | A+ | $1,250 | 6nc5 | 1/27/28 | 2.215% | 60 |
2/4/25 | BK | fin | bank | Aa3 | A | AA- | $1,250 | 6nc5 | 2/11/31 | 4.942% | 62 |
1/14/26 | JPM | fin | bank | A1 | A | AA- | $2,600 | 6nc5 | 1/22/32 | 4.347% | 63 |
10/15/25 | JPM | fin | bank | A1 | A | AA- | $2,000 | 6nc5 | 10/22/31 | 4.255% | 63 |
1/21/26 | USB | fin | bank | A3 | A | A | $1,250 | 6nc5 | 1/26/32 | 4.481% | 65 |
11/12/25 | SCHW | fin | brok | A2 | A- | A | $1,000 | 6nc5 | 11/14/31 | 4.343% | 68 |
10/28/25 | RY | yfin | bank | A1 | A | AA- | $1,000 | 6nc5 | 11/3/31 | 4.305% | 70 |
7/22/25 | WFC | fin | bank | A1 | BBB+ | A+ | $1,500 | 6nc5 | 4/23/31 | 5.150% | 72 |
And PNC's 3nc2 at T+48 ties as the lowest 3nc2 spread with BK on 6/3/25 back through 2022:
2022-26 3nc2 LOW SPREADS | |||||||||||
DATE | Ticker | Top Sector | Sub 1 | MDY | SP | FTCH | Size | Mat | Final | Coupon | Spread |
1/21/26 | PNC | fin | bank | A3 | A- | A | $1,200 | 3nc2 | 1/26/29 | 4.075% | 48 |
6/3/25 | BK | fin | bank | Aa3 | A | AA- | $750 | 3nc2 | 6/9/28 | 4.441% | 48 |
10/28/25 | RY | yfin | bank | A1 | A | AA- | $750 | 3nc2 | 11/3/28 | 3.995% | 50 |
7/17/25 | PNC | fin | bank | A2 | A | A+ | $1,000 | 3nc2 | 7/21/28 | 4.429% | 52 |
10/17/24 | USB | fin | bank | A2 | A+ | A+ | $1,250 | 3nc2 | 10/22/27 | 4.507% | 52 |
10/16/24 | MS | fin | bank | Aa3 | A+ | AA- | $1,750 | 3nc2 | 10/15/27 | 4.447% | 52 |
9/15/25 | BMO | yfin | bank | A2 | A- | AA- | $750 | 3nc2 | 9/15/28 | 4.062% | 53 |
11/12/24 | C | fin | bank | Aa3 | A+ | A+ | $2,200 | 3nc2 | 11/19/27 | 4.876% | 53 |
Here’s today’s rundown:
The PNC Financial Services Group Inc (PNC) US$3bn SEC registered 3-part. Denoms: 2,000 x 1,000. Sale into Canada: Yes - Exemption. UOP: gcp. Pricing 1/21. Settle 1/26 (T+3).
- $1.5bn 3nc2 fixed to floating and/or floating sr notes due 1/26/29. Ratings: A3/A-/A/AAL (s/s/s/s). Coupon reset date: 1/26/28. Optional redemption: 3nc2 FTF: Par Call: 30 day(s) prior to maturity. Standard Call: The Issuer may redeem the security on Jan 26, 2028 @ 100.000%; 3nc2 FRN: Par Call: 30 day(s) prior to maturity. Standard Call: The Issuer may redeem the security on Jan 26, 2028 @ 100.000%. First Pay: 3nc2 FTF: 7/26/26, 3nc2 FRN: 4/26/26. CUSIP: 3nc2 FTF: 693475CG8, 3nc2 FRN: 693475CH6. ISIN: 3nc2 FTF: US693475CG81, 3nc2 FRN: US693475CH64.
- $1.5bn 15nc10 fixed rate reset subordinated notes due 1/25/41. Ratings: A3/BBB+/A-/AH (s/s/s/s). Coupon reset date: 1/25/36. Optional redemption: Par Call: 90 day(s) prior to maturity. Standard Call: The Issuer may redeem the security on Jan 25, 2036 @ 100.000%. First Pay: 7/25/26. Cusip: 693475CF0. ISIN: US693475CF09.
VIA GS/JPM/PNC (B&D joint active books).
Announced with benchmark size, final size came in at $3bn with price progression as follows:
3nc2 FRN - IPT SOFR equiv; GDNC S+62#; PXD $300m 1/26/29 FRN at SOFR+62, at 100.
3nc2 FTF - IPT T+75 area; GDNC T+48#; PXD $1.2bn 4.075% 1/26/29 100.00 4.075% T+48. Back-end: SOFR+61.0.
15nc10 Sub - IPT T+145 area; GDNC T+117#; PXD $1.5bn 5.423% 1/25/41 100.00 5.423% T+117 (reset).
As for r/v, outstanding PNC was quoted as follows:
-PNC 5.300% due 01/21/28 nc27 T+51bp (G56; $101.17) - $1bn pxd JAN 2024
-PNC 5.354% due 12/02/28 nc27 T+48bp (G48; $102.28) - $1bn pxd NOV 2022
-PNC 5.582% due 06/12/29 nc28 T+52bp (G49; $103.32) - $2.5bn pxd JUN 2023
-PNC 5.492% due 05/14/30 nc29 T+60bp (G57; $103.75) - $1.75bn pxd MAY 2024
-PNC 5.222% due 01/29/31 nc30 T+54bp (G62; $103.50) - $1bn pxd JAN 2025
-PNC 4.899% due 05/13/31 nc30 T+59bp (G65; $101.80) - $1.25bn pxd MAY 2025
-PNC 5.575% due 01/29/36 nc35 T+81bp (G87; $103.48) - $1.75bn pxd JAN 2025
-PNC 5.373% due 07/21/36 nc35 T+82bp (G84; $102.04) - $1.5bn pxd 07/17/25 +92
*** 3nc2: Dec ‘28nc27 G48, call f/v at T+48bp. At the T+48bp pricing level, 3nc2 CONCESSION IS FLAT.
*** 3nc2: May ‘30nc29 G57, call 4nc3 f/v at 55bp. Take away 5-10bp for 4nc3/3nc2 curve gets f/v to T+48bp. At the T+48bp pricing level, 3nc2 CONCESSION IS FLAT.
*** 15nc10 sub: Sr Jul ‘36nc35 G84, call new issue sr 11nc10 f/v at 85bp. Add 20bp for sr -> sub differential gets 11nc10 sub f/v at 105bp. Add another 10bp for 11nc10 -> 15nc10 differential call f/v at T+115bp. At the T+117bp pricing level, 15nc10 CONCESSION IS 2BP.
COMPS AWAY:
Morgan Stanley (A1/A-/A+)
-MS 4.238% due 01/09/30 nc29 T+63bp (G63; $99.83) - $2.5bn pxd 01/15/26 +65
-MS 4.892% due 10/22/36 nc35 T+84bp (G85; $98.28) - $3bn pxd 10/17/25 +90
Wells Fargo & Co (A1/BBB+/A+)
-WFC 4.182% due 01/23/30 nc29 T+58bp (G58; $99.81) - $2bn pxd 01/15/26 +58
-WFC 4.960% due 01/23/37nc36 T+78bp (G77; $99.26) - $3.5bn pxd 01/15/26 +80
Goldman Sachs Group Inc (A2/BBB+/A)
-GS 4.148% due 01/21/29 nc28 T+59bp (G59; $99.93) - $3.75bn pxd 01/15/26 +58
-GS 5.065% due 01/21/37 nc36 T+86bp (G85; $99.46) - $4.5bn pxd 01/15/26 +90
JPMorgan Chase & Co (A1/A)
-JPM 4.898% due 01/22/37 nc36 T+72bp (G71; $99.21) - $3bn pxd 01/14/26 +76
Bank of America (A1/A-/AA-)
-BAC 5.464% due 05/09/36 nc35 T+75bp (G79; $103.20) - $2bn pxd MAY 2025
11nc10 Subs:
JP Morgan Chase & Co (A2/A-/A)
-JPM 5.576% due 07/23/36 nc35 T+94bp (G96; $102.63) - $4bn pxd 07/16/25 +112.5
Bank of America (A3/BBB+/A)
-BAC 5.744% due 02/12/36 nc35 T+99bp (G105; $103.37) - $2.5bn pxd FEB 2025
Citigroup Inc (Baa2/BBB/BBB+)
-C 6.020% due 01/24/36 nc35 T+115bp (G122; $104.12) - $3bn pxd JAN 2025
15nc10 Subs:
Northern Trust Corp (A2/A/A)
-NTRS 5.117% due 11/19/40 nc35 T+95bp (G95; $99.14) - $750m pxd 11/12/25 +105
Morgan Stanley (Baa1/BBB+/A-)
-MS 5.314% due 01/18/41 nc36 T+117bp (G116; $98.97) - $1.5bn pxd 01/15/26 +117
-MS 5.942% due 02/07/39 nc34 T+96bp (G110; $104.56) - $1.5bn pxd FEB 2024
-MS 5.948% due 01/19/38 nc33 T+88bp (G110; $104.58) - $2bn pxd JAN 2023
Huntington Bancshares Inc (Baa1/BBB/BBB+)
-HBAN 6.141% due 11/18/39 T+127bp (G137; $103.99) - $600m pxd NOV 2024
Citigroup Inc (Baa2/BBB/BBB+)
-C 5.411% due 09/19/39 nc34 T+127bp (G122; $99.66) - $1.1bn pxd SEPT 2024
FINAL BOOKS:
$300m 3nc2 FRN - $800m (2.67x) - PEAK $1000m
$1.2bn 3nc2 FTF - $4.000bn (3.33x) - PEAK $5.000bn
$1.5bn 15nc10 Sub - $9.000bn (6.00x) - PEAK $9.800bn
US Bancorp (USB) exp A3/A/A/AAL (s/s/s/s) US$2.25bn SEC registered 3-part sr notes (6nc5 fixed to floating and/or FRN due 1/26/32 and 11nc10 fixed to floating due 1/26/37. Optional Redemption: 6nc5 FTF: Make Whole Call. Par Call: 1 month(s) prior to maturity (12/26/31). Standard Call: The Issuer may redeem the security on Jan 26, 2031 @ 100.000%; 6nc5 FRN: Par Call: 1 month(s) prior to maturity (12/26/31). Standard Call: The Issuer may redeem the security on Jan 26, 2031 @ 100.000%; 11nc10: Make Whole Call. Par Call: 3 month(s) prior to maturity (10/26/36). Standard Call: The Issuer may redeem the security on Jan 26, 2036 @ 100.000%. Denoms: 1,000 x 1,000. Sale into Canada: Yes - Exemption. UOP: gcp. Pricing 1/21. Settle 1/26 (T+3). Cusip: 6nc5 FTF: 91159HJW1, 6nc5 FRN: 91159HJX9, 11nc10: 91159HJY7. ISIN: 6nc5 FTF: US91159HJW16, 6nc5 FRN: US91159HJX98, 11nc10: US91159HJY71.
VIA USB (B&D)/Barc/Citi joint active books.
Final size came in at $2.25bn with price progression as follows:
6nc5 FRN IPT - SOFR equiv; dropped at guidance
6nc5 FTF IPT - T+90 area; GDNC T+65#; PXD $1.25bn 4.481% 1/26/32 100.00 4.481% T+65. MW+10. Back-end: SOFR+86.7.
11nc10 FTF IPT - T+105 area; GDNC T+78#; PXD $1bn 5.033% 1/26/37 T+78. 100.00 5.033% MW+15. Back-end: SOFR+110.1.
As for r/v, outstanding USB was quoted as follows:
-USB 5.046% due 02/12/31nc30 T+55bp (G63; $103) - $1.3B pxd Feb 2025
-USB 5.424% due 02/12/36nc35 T+69bp (G75; $103.5) - $1.2B pxd Feb 2025
** 6nc5 - Outstanding Feb 31nc30 G63; plus curve, call new Jan 32nc31 f/v T+65bp. At the T+65bp pricing level, 6NC5 CONCESSION IS FLAT.
** 11nc10 - outstanding Feb 36nc35 G75; plus curve, call f/v T+78bp. At the T+78bp pricing level, 11nc10 CONCESSION IS FLAT.
Comps away:
PNC Financial Services (A3/A-/A)
-PNC 4.899% due 05/13/31nc30 T+56bp (G62; $102.4) - $1.25B pxd May 2025
-PNC 5.373% due 07/21/36nc35 T+80bp (G83; $102.3) - $1.5B pxd Jul 2025
Truist Financial Corp (Baa1/A-/A-)
-TFC 5.071% due 05/20/31nc30 T+63bp (G69; $102.8) - $1.25B pxd May 2025
-TFC 4.964% due 10/23/36nc35 T+94bp (G95; $97.8) - $1.25B pxd 10/20/25 +98
JP Morgan Chase & Co (A1/A/N/A)
-JPM 4.347% due 01/22/32nc31 T+62bp (G61; $99.4) - $2.6B pxd 01/14/26 +63
-JPM 4.898% due 01/22/37nc36 T+73bp (G72; $99) - $300M pxd 01/14/26 +76
FINAL BOOKS:
$1.25bn 6nc5 FTF - $4.000bn (3.20x) - PEAK $5.600bn
$1bn 11nc10 FTF - $3.500bn (3.50x) - PEAK $6.600bn
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) exp A2/A-/AA- (s/s/s) US$2bn SEC registered 4nc3 fixed to floating and/or floating sr notes due 1/29/30. MWC (FTF) then 1mo par call (12/29/29). Bail-in Language: Notes are subject to bail-in conversion under Canadian Bail-In regulations. Denoms: 2,000 x 1,000. Sales into Canada: Yes, via exemption. UOP: gcp. Pricing 1/21. Settle 1/29 (T+6). Cusip: 4nc3 FTF: 13607QWB4, 4n3 FRN: 13607QWA6. ISIN: 4nc3 FTF: US13607QWB49, 4nc3 FRN: US13607QWA65.
VIA BofA/Barc/CIBC (B&D)/DB/MS joint active books.
Announced with benchmark size, we heard initial thoughts as T+90 area and SOFR equiv.
Guidance came in at T+63# and SOFR+80#.
Ultimately, a $2bn deal priced as follows:
$400m 1/29/30 FRN at SOFR+80, at 100.
$1.6bn 4.283% 1/29/30 100.00 4.283% T+63. MW+10. Back-end: SOFR+79.0.
As for r/v, outstanding CM was quoted as follows:
-CM 4.857% due 03/31/29 nc28 T+55bp (G53; $102.2) - $1.4bn pxd MAR 2025
-CM 4.631% due 09/11/30 nc29 T+65bp (G59; $101.4) - $750m pxd SEPT 2024
-CM 4.580% due 09/08/31 nc30 T+64bp (G67; $100.5) - $1bn pxd 09/02/25 +85
*** Mar ‘29nc28 G53, call 3nc2 f/v at 53bp. Add 5-10bp for 3nc2 / 4nc3 curve gets f/v to T+60bp. At the T+60bp pricing level, CONCESSION IS 3BP.
COMPS AWAY:
Bank of Montreal (A2/A-/AA-)
-BMO 4.439% due 01/14/32 nc31 T+68bp (G68; $99.6) - $1.1bn pxd 01/07/26 +75
Royal Bank of Canada (A1/A/AA-)
-RY 3.995% due 11/03/28 nc27 T+48bp (G49; $99.8) - $750m pxd 10/28/25 +50
-RY 4.305% due 11/03/31 nc30 T+69bp (G70; $98.9) - $1bn pxd 01/28/25 +70
FINAL BOOKS:
$400m 4nc3 FRN - $675m (1.69x) - PEAK $675m
$1.6bn 4nc3 FTF - $4.900bn (3.06x) - PEAK $5.100bn
KeyCorp (KEY) exp Baa2/BBB/A- (p/s/s) US$750m SEC registered 11nc10 fixed to floating sr notes due 1/28/37. Optional Redemption: MWC then 3mos par call (10/28/36). Standard Call: The Issuer may redeem the security on Jan 28, 2036 @ 100.000%. Denoms: 2,000 x 1,000. Sale into Canada: Yes - Exemption. UOP: gcp. Pricing 1/21. Settle 1/28 (T+5). CUSIP: 49326EER0. ISIN: US49326EER09.
VIA Key (B&D)/Citi/JPM joint active books.
Announced as a benchmark, we heard initial price thoughts as T+135 area.
Went straight to launch at $750m 11nc10 at T+105.
Ultimately, a $750m deal priced as follows:
$750m 5.305% 1/28/37 100.00 5.305% T+105. MW+20. Back-end: SOFR+136.7.
As for r/v, outstanding KEY was quoted as follows:
-KEY 5.121% due 04/04/31nc30 T+71bp (G78; $102.16) - $750M pxd Feb 2025
-KEY 6.401% due 03/06/35nc34 T+91bp (G104; $107.98) - $1B pxd Feb 2024
** Outstanding Mar 35nc34 G104; plus 4bp for curve, new Jan 37nc36 f/v is T+108bp. At the T+105bp pricing level, CONCESSION IS NEG 3BP.
Comps away:
Citizens Financial Group (Baa1/BBB+/BBB+)
-CFG 5.253% due 03/05/31nc30 T+80bp (G88; $102.28) - $750M pxd Feb 2025
-CFG 6.645% due 04/25/35nc34 T+95bp (G107; $109.43) - $750M pxd Apr 2024
Fifth Third Bancorp (Baa1/BBB+/A-)
-FITB 4.895% due 09/06/30nc29 T+78bp (G72; $101.52) - $750M pxd Sep 2024
-FITB 5.631% due 01/29/32nc31 T+74bp (G73; $104.67) - $1B pxd Jan 2024
Huntington Bancshares (Baa1/BBB+/A-)
-HBAN 5.272% due 01/15/31nc30 T+70bp (G79; $102.64) - $1.15B pxd Nov 2024
-HBAN 5.709% due 02/02/35nc34 T+82bp (G96; $104.02) - $1.25B pxd Jan 2024
M&T Bank Corporation (Baa1/BBB+/A)
-MTB 5.179% due 07/08/31nc30 T+73bp (G77; $102.44) - $750M pxd Jun 2025
-MTB 5.385% due 01/16/36nc35 T+95bp (G101; $101.15) - $1B pxd Dec 2024
FINAL BOOKS:
$750m 11nc10 FTF - $6.700bn (8.93x) - PEAK $7.500bn
The Israel Electric Corp Ltd (ISRELE) exp Baa2/BBB+ (n/s) US$500m (no grow) 144A/Reg S 12y FXD sr secured notes due 1/28/38. CoC put option if the Company ceases to be directly or indirectly Controlled by the Government. Coupon: Fixed, Payable semi-annual in arrear, 30/360. Denoms: $200,000 x $1,000. Listing: TASE-UP. Clearing: Euroclear / Clearstream. Benchmark: T 4 11/15/35. UOP: The Company intends to use the net proceeds of the Notes to finance the Company’s capital investment program, to refinance existing debt and or other corporate purposes as the Company may determine. Pricing 1/21. Settle 1/28. ISIN: 0012349887IL.
VIA Barc/Citi (B&D) joint books.
Announced as $500m no grow, we heard initial thoughts as T+170 area.
Ultimately, a $500m deal priced as follows:
$500m 5.633% 1/28/38 100.00 5.633% T+135.
As for r/v, we heard the Israeli Sovereign was the most relevant comp:
Israel Government International Bond (Baa1/A)
-ISRAEL 5.000% due 01/13/36 T+91bp (G90; $98.50) - $2bn pxd 01/06/26 +100
-ISRAEL 5.875% due 01/13/56 T+117bp ($97.49) - $1.75bn pxd 01/06/26 +125
*** ISRAEL Jan ‘36 G90, call 10y f/v at 90bp. Add 10bp for 10s/12s curve gets 12yr f/v at 100bp.
Sovereign differential worth around 40bp which points to f/v around T+140bp. At the T+135bp pricing level, CONCESSION IS NEG 5BP.
FINAL BOOK:
$500m 12yr - $5.000bn (10.00x) - PEAK $5.000bn
Goldman Sachs BDC Inc (GSBD), exp Baa3/BBB- (s/s) by Moody's/Fitch, US$400m (up from $300m) SEC registered 3y FXD sr notes due 1/28/29. MWC then 1mo par call (12/28/27). 100 CoC. Denoms: $2,000 x $1,000. Sale into Canada: Yes - Exemption. UOP: Pay down a portion of the Revolving Credit Facility and for general corporate purposes. Pricing 1/21. Settle 1/28 (T+5). CUSIP / ISIN: 38147U AG2 / US38147UAG22.
VIA BofA/HSBC/MUFG/SMBC (B&D)/TSI joint active books.
Announced with a $300m size, we heard initial price thoughts as T+200 area.
Upsized and went straight to launch at $400m 3y at T+170.
Ultimately, a $400m deal priced as follows:
$400m 5.10% 1/28/29 99.283 5.362% T+170. MW+30.
As for r/v, outstanding GSBD was quoted as follows:
-GSBD 6.375% due 03/11/27 T+106bp (G111; $101.9) - $400M pxd Mar 2024
-GSBD 5.650% due 09/09/30 T+185bp (G188; $99.86) - $400M pxd 09/04/25 +200
** Outstanding Sep 30s G188; call new 5yr f/v T+190bp then take off 25bp for 3s/5s curve to get to T+165bp f/v. At the T+170bp pricing level, CONCESSION IS 5BP.
(Again, some would argue for a slightly steeper 3s/5s curve and use 30bp instead, which would land a 162.5 f/v and 7.5bp nic)
Comps away:
Goldman Sachs Private Credit (Baa3/BBB-/BBB-)
-GSCRED 5.875% due 05/06/28 T+137bp (G135; $101.9) - $400M pxd Apr 2025
-GSCRED 6.250% due 05/06/30 T+188bp (G195; $102) - $600M pxd Apr 2025
-GSCRED 5.375% due 01/31/29 T+170bp (G170; $100.06) - $660M pxd 10/09/25 +200
-GSCRED 5.875% due 01/31/31 T+210bp (G209; $99.72) - $500M pxd 11/19/25 +245
Ares Capital Corp (Baa2/BBB/BBB)
-ARCC 5.875% due 03/01/29 T+135bp (G134; $102.4) - $1B pxd Jan 2024
-ARCC 5.500% due 09/01/30 T+159bp (G163; $100.3) - $750M pxd May 2025
-ARCC 5.250% due 04/12/31 T+178bp (G175; $98.38) - $750M pxd 01/05/26 +180
Ares Strategic Income Fund (Baa3/BBB-/BBB-)
-ARESSI 4.850% due 01/15/29 T+169bp (G169; $98.66) - $600M pxd 09/08/25 +160
-ARESSI 5.150% due 01/15/31 T+189bp (G189; $97.54) - $500M pxd 09/08/25 +185
Blackstone Secured Lending (Baa2/BBB-/BBB)
-BXSL 5.350% due 04/13/28 T+140bp (G139; $100.7) - $700M pxd Oct 2024
-BXSL 5.300% due 06/30/30 T+162bp (G167; $99.4) - $500M pxd Feb 2025
-BXSL 5.125% due 01/31/31 T+172bp (G171; $98.13) - $500M pxd 10/06/25 +155
Golub Capital BDC (Baa2/BBB-/BBB)
-GBDC 7.050% due 12/05/28 T+147bp (G140; $105.2) - $700M pxd Nov 2023
-GBDC 6.000% due 07/15/29 T+165bp (G161; $102.1) - $750M pxd Jan 2024
Blue Owl Capital Corp (Baa3/BBB-/BBB)
-OBDC 5.950% due 03/15/29 T+201bp (G199; $100.8) - $1B pxd Jan 2024
-OBDC 6.200% due 07/15/30 T+215bp (G219; $100.9) - $500M pxd May 2025
Blackstone Private Credit Fund (Baa2/BBB-)
-BCRED 4.000% due 01/15/29 T+138bp (G138; $97.2) - $642M pxd Jul 2022
-BCRED 5.250% due 04/01/30 T+170bp (G177; $98.9) - $397M pxd Apr 2025
-BCRED 5.350% due 03/12/31 T+194bp (G192; $98.11) - $700M pxd 01/05/26 +190
Golub Capital Private Credit Fund (Baa3/BBB-/N/A)
-GCRED 5.450% due 08/15/28 T+165bp (G161; $100.53) - $500M pxd Jul 2025
Sixth Street Specialty (Baa2/BBB-/BBB)
-TSLX 5.625% due 08/15/30 T+164bp (G168; $100.59) - $300M pxd Feb 2025
Apollo Debt Solutions Bd (Baa3/BBB-/BBB-)
-APODS 5.200% due 12/08/28 T+166bp (G159; $99.91) - $400M pxd 12/03/25 +170
-APODS 5.700% due 01/23/31 T+194bp (G193; $99.67) - $750M pxd 01/15/26 +195
HPS Corporate Lending Fund (Baa2/BBB-/N/A)
-HLEND 5.150% due 04/02/29 T+166bp (G164; $99.54) - $350M pxd 01/06/26 +170
-HLEND 5.650% due 04/02/31 T+194bp (G191; $99.46) - $400M pxd 01/06/26 +200
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending (Baa3/N/A/BBB-)
-MSDL 6.150% due 05/17/29 T+149bp (G147; $103) - $347M pxd Jan 2025
-MSDL 6.000% due 05/19/30 T+170bp (G176; $101.73) - $350M pxd May 2025
FINAL BOOKS:
$400m 3yr - $1.800bn (4.50x) - PEAK $2.200bn
Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. has asked Wells Fargo Securities, J.P. Morgan, Natixis, and SMBC Nikko to arrange a series of fixed income investor calls to be conducted on Wednesday, January 21st. An electronic presentation has been made available. An offering of SEC-Registered senior unsecured notes (expected to be rated Baa3 (Stable) by Moody’s / BBB- (Stable) by Fitch and BBB (Stable) by KBRA*) may follow, subject to market conditions.
Wells Fargo Securities is coordinating logistics.
Company Participants:
Michael Ewald: Partner, Global Head of Private Credit and CEO of BCSF
Mike Boyle: Partner, President of BCSF
Amit Joshi: CFO for BCSF & Bain Capital Private Credit
Katherine Schneider: Managing Director, Investor Relations
Schedule for Wednesday, January 21st, 2026:
Call #1: 12:00pm-1:00pm ET; Pre-Registration Link: https://evercall.co/oacc/78750
Call #2: 1:00pm-2:00pm ET; Pre-Registration Link: https://evercall.co/oacc/43652
Call #3: 2:00pm-3:00pm ET; Pre-Registration Link: https://evercall.co/oacc/80247
Slides will be available 15 minutes before and 15 minutes after each scheduled call
– Province of Ontario (ONT), rated Aa3/AA-/AA-/AA (Moody's/S&P/Fitch/DBRS, stb/stb/stb/stb), US$3.5bn SEC registered 3y FXD global sr notes due 1/29/29. Barc/HSBC/JPM/Scotia (B&D) joint books. Coupon: TBD, Fixed, SA 30/360. Denoms: $5,000 x $1,000. Listing: Luxembourg (Euro MTF Market). Law: Province of Ontario/Canada. Pricing 1/21. Settle 1/29 (T+6).
IPTs: SOFR MS+36 area (currently equiv ~CT3+16.3).
SPREAD SET: SOFR MS+34# (IOIs in excess of $5.4bn (incl. $200mm JLM interest).
LAUNCHED: $3.5bn 3y at SOFR MS+34. Book closed in excess of $8.4bn (incl. $200mm JLM interest).
PRICED: $3.5bn 3.80% 1/29/29 99.978 3.808% SOFR MS+34 (T+14.6).