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Commentary & Deal Flow

Attachments

CreditFlow € £ & Chf Supply Analysis (Europe IG)_2026-06-05.xlsx

CreditFlow Recent € £ Chf & Reg S $ Supply Table (Europe IG).xlsx

CreditFlow: End of Day (Europe IG)

IGC European Market: Commentary - Close
  • There was no € IG supply today for the second session in a row, as participants watched the US payroll data which came in with a far higher number than expected (172,000 versus expectations of 88,0000). The heavy number for May effectively eradicated any remaining hopes of a Fed rate cut. The unemployment rate stayed the same at 4.3%.
  • The sole primary transaction of today’s session was a £1bn covered offering from NatWest Bank.
  • IG pipeline for Europe remains:
    • 1 x € FIG
    • 3 x € SSA
    • 1 x £ SSA


Euro IG (today)


NO SUPPLY


Week-to-date volumes:

Year-to-date volumes:


Sterling IG (today)


FIG

Type

Issuer

Size (m)

Structure

Initial Pricing

Final Spd / Yield

IPT to PX

NIC (bp)

Books (m)

Cover 'X'

FIG

Nat West Bank

£1,000

5yr Covered

SONIA +52 area

SONIA +47

-5

0

£2,000

2.00 X


  • National Westminster Bank Plc (exp. Issue ratings of Aaa / AAA by Moody’s & Fitch) announced a 5 year covered bond with guidance in the area of SONIA+52. As the sole trade of the day books were announced first at over £2bn. The deal launched at SONIA+47 for @1bn. Books pre-rec were £2.3bn (incl. £100m JLMs). The deal priced 5 tighter than IPTs & flat to secondaries.


Week-to-date volumes:

Year-to-date volumes:


Swiss Franc IG (today)


NO SUPPLY

Week-to-date volumes:

US$ Reg S (today)


NO SUPPLY


Pending Deals & Mandates 


Euro (€)

Type

Issuer

Size (m)

Structure

Notes

FIG

QBE Insurance

€300- €500m

11NC6 Tier 2

Mandate. Investor meetings commencing 3rd June


  • Monday, 1st June: Australian multinational general insurance & reinsurance company QBE Insurance Group Limited (A / A by S&P & Fitch), mandated Barclays, Crédit Agricole CIB, Deutsche Bank, JP Morgan & Natixis as JLMs to arrange a series of fixed-income investor meetings commencing Thursday 4th June. A potential €300m to €500m Regulation S Registered 11NC6 Tier 2 Subordinated issue may follow, subject to market conditions. The expected securities’ ratings are BBB+ (S&P) and BBB+ (Fitch).


Type

Issuer

Size (m)

Structure

Notes

SSA

Bpi France

€ bmk

5yr Secured (ESN)

Mandate (21st May)

SSA

State of Saxony-Anhalt

€ bmk

2yr Digital Bond

Mandate (27th May)

SSA

The Basque Government

€ bmk

TBC

Mandate (1st June). Investor meetings in Amsterdam & London 3rd & 4th of June


  • Friday, 22nd May: Bpifrance ESN Master FCT, a newly set up French fonds commun de titrisation, mandated (21st May) BNP Paribas & Bpifrance as co-Arrangers, BNP Paribas, Deutsche Bank & Natixis as Joint Bookrunners to arrange a series of fixed income investor calls starting on the 26th May 2026. An inaugural € European Secured Notes (“ESN”) transaction may follow, subject to market conditions.
  • Thursday, 28th May: The German State of Saxony-Anhalt (Aa1 / AAA / AAA), mandated (27th May) DekaBank as the sole lead manager for its inaugural 2-year blockchain-based digital bond issuance (crypto security under German eWpG). A € bond, issued using SWIAT blockchain technology, will follow subject to market conditions.
  • Monday, 1st June: The Basque Government (A2 / AA- / A+) mandated Deutsche Bank & ING to arrange a series of physical fixed-income investor meetings in Amsterdam & London on Wednesday 3rd & Thursday 4th of June, respectively, with the aim to present the Basque Government’s Industrial Strategy 2030 plan & the Basque Financial Alliance, a strong public-private framework, targeting investments in industrial companies with deep local roots in the Basque Region. Following the investor meetings, a € denominated benchmark bond issue may follow, subject to market conditions.


Sterling (£)

Type

Issuer

Size (m)

Structure

Notes

SSA

The United Kingdom

£ bmk

TAP 5.25% Jan 41

Mandate (29th May). To come week commencing 8th June.


  • Friday, 29th May: The United Kingdom (Aa3 / AA / AA- ), mandated Citi, Deutsche Bank, JP Morgan, Lloyds Bank Markets, & RBC CM to lead manage the syndicated re-opening of the 5.25% Treasury Gilt 2041 (ISIN code GB00BVP99897). The transaction is currently planned to take place in the week commencing 8th June 2026, subject to demand and market conditions



Transaction Details 


PRICED: National Westminster Bank Plc £1bn 5yr CB; SONIA+47bp

IGC European Market: Deal Flow - General

Issuer

Term

Coupon

Maturity

Size

Ranking

Type

Price

Guidance

Spread

GDNC-PXD

National Westminster Bank Plc

5yr

SONIA+47bp

22-May-31

£1bn

CB

Floating

100

SONIA+52a

SONIA+47

-5


Reoffer: 5yr: SONIA+47bp / 100

Launched: 5yr: £1bn @ SONIA+47bp - Books £2.3bn+ (incl £100m JLM) pre rec
Book Update: Books £2bn+
Guidance: 5yr: SONIA+52a


  • Issuer: National Westminster Bank Plc (Ticker: NWG)
  • Issuer LEI: 213800IBT39XQ9C4CP71
  • Guarantor: NatWest Covered Bonds Limited Liability Partnership
  • Expected Issue Ratings: Aaa/AAA (Moody's/Fitch)
  • Format: Reg S, Bearer, UK Regulated Covered Bond
  • Currency: £
  • Size: £1bn
  • Pricing Date: 05-Jun-26
  • Settlement Date: 17-Jun-26 (T+8)
  • Maturity Date: 22-May-31 (soft bullet)
  • Coupon: SONIA+47bps, Floating, Compounded Daily SONIA, 5 day lag, Quarterly, ACT/365F
  • Reoffer Spread: SONIA+47bps
  • Reoffer Price: 100
  • Documentation: Issued under the Issuer’s €25bn Global Covered Bond Programme dated 27-Mar-26, as supplemented on 03-Jun-26
  • Listing / Governing Law: London Stock Exchange's main market / English
  • Denominations: £100k + 1k
  • ISIN / Common Code: XS3405659833 / 340565983
  • Joint Lead Managers: BMO Capital Markets, NatWest (B&D), Santander, Standard Chartered Bank
  • Fees: The Joint Lead Managers will be paid a fee in connection with the transaction. Details of the fee may be available to investors upon request
  • Selling Restrictions: As per the Base Prospectus
  • Target Market: Manufacturer target market (MIFID II product governance and UK MiFIR product governance) is eligible counterparties and professional clients only (all distribution channels). No PRIIPs key information document / CCI disclosure document has been prepared as not available to retail in the EEA or in the UK
  • Advertisement: The base prospectus, as supplemented, is available at https://investors.natwestgroup.com/fixed-income-investors/covered-bonds.aspx and the final terms, when published will be available at https://www.londonstockexchange.com/
  • Timing: ToE 16.09 UKT / FTT 16.30 UKT


Covered FRN
5 year (May 2031) @ SONIA+52 area 

Implied Spread for fresh 5 year @ SONIA+47

Priced at SONIA+47
NIC of 0


COMPS

Ticker

Rating

Size (£m)

Maturity

Issue Date

DM+ (mid)

LLOYDS

Aaa/AAA/AAA

1,000

Nov-30

Oct-25

45

LEED

Aaa/-/AAA

500

Mar-31

Mar-26

46

SKIPTN

Aaa/AAA/AAA

500

Apr-31

May-26

47

SANUK

Aaa/AAA/AAA

750

May-31

May-26

47


  • Details correct at time of posting