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Commentary & Deal Flow

PRICED: Republic of Bulgaria €1bn 4.5yr, €750m 8yr & €500m 18yr Sr Unsec Tap; MS+60bp, MS+95bp & MS+160bp

EM CEEMEA: Deal Flow - SSA

Issuer

Term

Coupon

Maturity

Size

Ranking

Type

Price

Yield

Spread

IPT-PXD

Republic of Bulgaria

4.5yr

4.375%

13-May-31

€1bn

Sr Unsec

Fixed

100.554

4.235%

MS+60

-20

Republic of Bulgaria

8yr

4.625%

23-Sep-34

€750m

Sr Unsec

Fixed

100.109

4.608%

MS+95

-20

Republic of Bulgaria

18yr

4.25%

05-Sep-44

€500m

Sr Unsec

Fixed

87.770

5.325%

MS+160

-15


Reoffer: 4.5yr: MS+60bp / 100.554 / 4.235% 8yr: MS+95bp / 100.109 / 4.608% 18yr: MS+160bp / 87.769 / 5.325%
Benchmark: 4.5yr: OBL 2.5 16-Apr-31 #193 @ 96.20% / B+82.2bp 8yr: DBR 2.6 15-Aug-34 @ 93.62% / B+106.6bp 18yr: DBR 2.5 04-Jul-44 @ 82.20% / B+141.7bp

Tranche 1 (4.5yr): Final Books > €2.2bn (incl €120m JLM int). Peak book > €2.4bn (incl €120m JLM int)
Tranche 2 (8yr): Final Books > €2.2bn (incl €120m JLM int). Peak book > €2.5bn (incl €120m JLM int)
Tranche 3 (18yr): Final Books > €1.7bn (incl €10m JLM int). Peak book > €1.9bn (incl €25m JLM int)

Launched:
4.5yr: €1bn @ MS+60bp - Books > €2.4bn (incl €120m JLM int)
8yr: €750m @ MS+95bp - Books > €2.5bn (incl €120m JLM int)
18yr: €500m @ MS+160bp - Books > €1.9bn (incl €25m JLM int)

Spread set at: 4.5yr: MS+60bp 8yr: MS+95bp 18yr: MS+160bp - Combined books > €5.5bn (incl. €265m JLM int), skewed towards the shorter maturities

IPTs: 4.5yr: MS+80a 8yr: MS+115a 18yr: MS+175a


  • Issuer: Republic of Bulgaria
  • LEI: 529900PG0XCL4LICL838
  • Issuer Ratings / Outlook: Baa1 (stable) by Moody's, BBB+ (positive) by S&P, BBB+ (positive) by Fitch
  • Expected Issue Ratings: Baa1 by Moody's, BBB+ by Fitch
  • Ranking: Senior Unsecured
  • Currency: €
  • Format: Reg S (Category 1), Registered, Drawdown under the GMTN Programme dated 28-Apr-25 and as supplemented on 15-Jul-25, 07-Jul-26 and 29-Sep-26
  • Expected Tap Size:
    • 4.5yr: € Benchmark
    • 8yr: € Benchmark
    • 18yr: € Benchmark
  • Tranche Reopening:
    • 4.5yr: 4.375% May-31 (4.6yrs)
    • 8yr: 4.625% Sep-34 (8.0yrs)
    • 18yr: 4.25% Sep-44 (17.9yrs)
  • Size:
    • 4.5yr: €1bn
    • 8yr: €750m
    • 18yr: €500m
  • New Amount Outstanding:
    • 4.5yr: €2.30bn
    • 8yr: €1.50bn
    • 18yr: €1.75bn
  • Maturity Date:
    • 4.5yr: 13-May-31
    • 8yr: 23-Sep-34
    • 18yr: 05-Sep-44
  • Settlement Date:
    • 4.5yr: 02-Oct-26 (T+3)
    • 8yr: 02-Oct-26 (T+3)
    • 18yr: 02-Oct-26 (T+3)
  • Reoffer: MS+60bp / 100.554 / 4.235% (4.5yr) | MS+95bp / 100.109 / 4.608% (8yr) | MS+160bp / 87.769 / 5.325% (18yr)
  • Interpolated Mid-Swap:
    • 4.5yr: 3.635%
    • 8yr: 3.658%
    • 18yr: 3.725%
  • Coupon:
    • 4.5yr: 4.375% Fixed, p.a. Act/Act (ICMA)
    • 8yr: 4.625% Fixed, p.a. Act/Act (ICMA)
    • 18yr: 4.25% Fixed, p.a. Act/Act (ICMA)
  • Benchmark:
    • 4.5yr: OBL 2.5 16-Apr-31 #193 / 96.20% / B+82.2bp / HR 102%
    • 8yr: DBR 2.6 15-Aug-34 / 93.62% / B+106.6bp / HR 101%
    • 18yr: DBR 2.5 04-Jul-44 / 82.20% / B+141.7bp / HR 93%
  • ISIN (immediately fungible):
    • 4.5yr: XS2716887760
    • 8yr: XS2536817484
    • 18yr: XS2890435600
  • Denoms: €1,000 and €1,000 in excess thereof
  • Governing Law: English Law
  • Listing: Regulated Market of the Luxembourg Stock Exchange
  • Clearing System: Euroclear / Clearstream, Luxembourg
  • Joint Lead Managers: BNP Paribas (B&D), Erste Group, ING, J.P. Morgan, KBC
  • Use of Proceeds: The net proceeds from the Transaction will be used for financing the budget deficit adopted with the Annual Budget Law for 2026
  • Stabilisation: ICMA/FCA stabilisation applies
  • Timing: Priced, TOE 31s 16:13 UKT, 34s 16:14 UKT, 44s 16:15 UKT, FTT Immediately